Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,194$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(129 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.3\) days)
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $22$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(0.154 \times 10^{0.042t}\) (doubling rate \(7.1\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,886$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $9,267$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(724 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,079.0}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 58.3)}}\) (asimptote \(12,079.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $646$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(131 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{573.0}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 28.6)}}\) (asimptote \(573.0\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,072$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,966$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(52.7 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{44,171.9}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 119.0)}}\) (asimptote \(44,171.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $69$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(8.79 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{124.9}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 63.8)}}\) (asimptote \(124.9\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,469$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $30,967$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(447 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{417,749.1}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 119.8)}}\) (asimptote \(417,749.1\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $643$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(17.9 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $14,208$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $23,449$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(517 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{89,651.2}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 97.6)}}\) (asimptote \(89,651.2\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $913$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(82.5 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,098.1}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 51.0)}}\) (asimptote \(1,098.1\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $16,843$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,306$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(21.7 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,330.4}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 72.1)}}\) (asimptote \(2,330.4\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $12$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(1.32 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{15.3}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 26.4)}}\) (asimptote \(15.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,094$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $335$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(162 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(55.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.7}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(333.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(5.31 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(60.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.8}{1 + 10^{-0.081 (t - 11.8)}}\) (asimptote \(9.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,655$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(19.6 \times 10^{0.030t}\) (doubling rate \(10.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,045.5}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 66.1)}}\) (asimptote \(4,045.5\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $17$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(0.6 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(14.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{17.6}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 54.2)}}\) (asimptote \(17.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,916$ on 2020-05-30